Predictions for Running Fable 5 Locally
It is predicted that Fable 5 will be able to run on local hardware in about two years, according to data from Reddit.
Predictions for Running Fable 5 Locally
According to discussions on Reddit, Fable 5 is likely to be able to run locally in about two years.
Such predictions are illustrated by a graph published in r/LocalLLaMA, which tracks how long it takes for the capabilities of advanced cloud models to become comparable to open models that can run on a regular laptop.
The average observed lag is about 24.8 months:
- GPT-3 level capabilities — in 37 months.
- GPT-3.5 level capabilities — in 17 months.
- GPT-4 level capabilities — in about 24 months.
According to this forecast, Fable/Mythos 5 level models will be able to run on high-performance consumer hardware by around July 2028.
However, there is a caveat. If the current trend continues, high-performance consumer hardware will cost as much as corporate equipment.
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Why it matters
AnalysisThis prediction is important for understanding the development of AI technologies and their accessibility to consumers. Knowing the timelines for the release of new models will help in planning investments in hardware.
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