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433•08/21/2026, 14:30•1 min read

US-China AI Race Chart

US-China AI Race Chart
Executive TL;DR30s read

The chart illustrates the narrowing gap in capabilities between Chinese and American AI models over recent years.

A very telling chart from a recent Bloomberg article.

The orange dots represent Chinese models, while the blue ones represent the USA. The Y-axis shows the weighted average across benchmarks such as GDPval-AA v2, τ³-Banking, Terminal-Bench v2.1, Humanity’s Last Exam, GPQA Diamond, CritPt, SciCode, AA-Omniscience, and AA-LCR.

The frontier models are connected by a line. It is evident how much the gap in capabilities has narrowed over the past couple of years (and GLM-5.3 is not even on the chart). Many American leaders still claim that Chinese models lag by 6-9 months, but this information is clearly outdated. Not to mention the pricing.

Why it matters

Analysis

This chart highlights the rapid progress of Chinese AI models, which could significantly impact global competitiveness in the tech sector.

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